Mickey Walker

The New American Economic Tragedy (Seen Through the Eyes of a Former Securities Broker)

By Mickey Walker-June 7, 2009

 

In another life, I used to sell securities, municipal bonds mainly.  I was a full-blown “Series Seven” bond broker and worked a few years before retiring for a Houston-based municipal bond underwriter.  Our firm brought new issues of tax-free bonds to market for sale to the general public and other institutions such as banks and insurance companies. These Texas bonds were called MUD bonds (Municipal Utility District), ad-valorem tax bonds the capital and interest of which was secured by property tax payments each homeowner made to the bond issuer in his monthly payments.  The bond issuer, in turn, through using paying-agent banks, paid the bondholders (those individuals who bought the bonds) tax-free income every six months.  When the bonds matured the bondholders got their principal back and all was right with the world.  Unless the bond defaulted which rarely ever happened.  The wondrous security of it all was based upon a simple fact:  rather than lose their homes for failure to pay taxes, homeowners would pay those taxes and the bondholders would have the ultimate security in knowing that.  And if a homeowner lost his job, then his home, the bank that held the note would sell the home to another human being for the back taxes plus whatever the market on the house happened to be at the time.  Such a deal!  What security!  And to make things even better, giant insurers of municipal bonds sometimes offered increased security by insuring the bond payments against any kind of default that would disrupt the flow of cash from the paying agent banks to the bondholders.  Life was sweet.

 

I will never forget the day when some brokers from a large New York Wall Street investment bank came to pitch Derivatives to us.  They wanted our securities firm to sell Derivatives to our own customers, you see.  The commission for selling Derivatives was phenomenal, almost double a normal sales fee for securities.  Trouble was, none of us country brokers from the little old tame municipal bond firm I worked for in Houston, understood one iota about what Derivatives really were.  We pummeled the dudes from New York for answers.  Were they bonds?  Well, almost, but not technically, they said.  What was a tranche?  Well, these were the different chambers of time where a derivative would either pay off (and your client would win) or lose your client his ass (if he guessed wrong). After the NY dudes in the expensive Italian suits packed it up and left with us still looking glassy-eyed at each other, one of my fellow brokers, born and raised in the boot heel of Missouri, said, “Hell they’s bookie bets.”  He was right.  They were unregulated by the SEC, and they sort of talked around the idea that a Derivative would pay if the mortgagee homeowners (for example) would pay on time OR NOT.  You had to be on the right side of the fence.  It was a bet on which blackbird on the fence would fly first.  Get it?  Nope.  None of us got it, either.  And thank God, none of us sold the garbage called derivatives.  But the rest of the world for the past several years was not so lucky.

 

Fast-forwarding to May, 2009, I read a column by a friend and fellow writer of mine for The Political Junkies Magazine, Dr. Steve Jonas.  In his inimitable style and brilliance, Dr. J. wrote about the new “Financial Capitalism” a new ballgame from that of Mercantile Capitalism and Industrial Capitalism of the past and of which Dr. J. speaks.  It inspired me to write more about the financial uncertainty and cloud hanging over America at this juncture in time in May 24, 2009.  You can read Dr. J’s article here: “Financial Capitalism” as I interpreted it is the gaggle of entangled snares and unsanctified, deregulated, non-regulated trash of non-securities that remains after Derivatives did their work on America for the past 15 years.  Here we sit with no goals really of what will cure the disease that has our country now borrowed and spent and robbed and cheated into a third world state.  Have you heard the latest?  Several sources throughout the world see the United States now falling from its impeccable credit rating by Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s of AAA to AA and below.  President Obama has an impossible task.  He will be in damage control operations trying to shore up our economy for his whole term and beyond if he is elected to a second.  No one knows when it will ever end.  No one knows.  Our nation’s falling to a lower credit rating will plunge us below several other countries of the world including Norway, Germany, and of course, oil-rich Saudi Arabia.  That means one thing:  with our multi-trillion dollar National Debt, countries who have lent us money in the past eventually, will cut us off.  We will no longer have the money necessary to run the government of the United States of America!  Just imagine what that would be like.

 

We have, thanks to the borrow-and-spend Bush/Cheney mad men, beginning with Ronald Reagan who borrowed and spent us to the brink by “Bringing the Evil Empire, Russia to her knees” arrived at a place of economic wasteland of what used to be the American Economy.  We are the losers, to be sure when our debt now is over 15 Trillion dollars (including off budget Iraq War spending), but who are the winners?  Does Halliburton or Dick Cheney come to mind?  Reckon they sold some of them $600.00 toilet seats to Uncle Sam during all this ongoing financial and war corporation mêlée?  Connect the dots, someone.  Puhlese.

 

Derivatives, though, have permeated the world financial markets like a financial Lymphoma.  Combined with our national debt, we are facing a one-two punch the likes of which the world has never seen.  And nobody knows what it will look like in the aftermath because none of us has ever seen it before where markets crash on a global scale.  I know this sounds too dire, too horrific to believe, and maybe it is; I hope so.  But just last week I got an officer of a world-class bank to infer that his bank held over 90 Trillion dollars of Derivatives.  “What would happen if just 1 Trillion dollars worth that you held got called in, say in a pension fund withdrawal panic?”  I asked him.  He shuddered.  There was a grand pause.

 

Finally, I said, “Look, these Derivatives aren’t real, are they?”  He said, “In a sense, no.”  So I asked him, what, then would happen if his bank and the next biggest with over 50 Trillion dollars worth of Derivatives, instead of crashing and burning and taking America and the rest of the world down the financial toilet, what would happen if the banks of the world who held Derivatives just said, hey, world, tough luck but we’re resetting the taxi meter.  Of course I told him that would mean default.  He said he knew that very well, but that the alternative was to commit financial suicide the likes of which the world has never known.  So by disavowing the existence of Derivatives since they were never real in the first place, that would get us off the hook?  Yes, it would, he added.  We agreed that if the banks needed a moral basis from which to waffle, they could all just say Derivatives are not real, not regulated, and therefore, not recognized as legitimate securities.  Swell.  So down goes the pension plan of IBM, General Motors, the US Government Employees Credit Union, all of the unfortunates who bought into Derivatives.  AIG was bailed out because, right or wrong, it was decided that if it failed, too many other Americans would be hurt.  But the inevitable question remains.  How do you liquidate a debt?  You either pay it or renege, no other possibility exists.  And how do your liquidate an impossible debt?  You disavow it, don’t pay it and say it wasn’t really a legitimate debt to begin with.  There are several who would agree with this since Derivatives were never regulated as real securities.  And AIG is on borrowed time until the next wave.

 

Do you see the pandemonium ahead?  Remember the municipal bond insurers I mentioned?  Two of the biggest, AMBAC and MBIA have already bit the dust after having paid out all the billions in their cash reserves.  Now a municipal bond must be able to pay its own debts on time with no insurance against default to prop it up.  Looks like the world is returning to real.  Funny thing, but when you play the shell game of Derivatives, there never was a pea in the first place.  Wishing that the lesson learned would not be so harsh, I wonder truly what face financial markets might present in the next couple of years.  Dr. J painted an ominous picture of “Financial Capitalism” and its affect on us and the rest of the world in the times to come.  That’s our legacy though when we fail to cry out against unlawful wars our leaders wage without congressional approval, to borrow and spend our great country into financial oblivion.  And when we let the financial rapscallions of the world entice us all into playing their own shell game.  Without the pea.   TPJmagazine

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