“THE CHENEYBUSH WAR POLICY: CONNECTING THE DOTS”

By Steven Jonas, MD, MPH – March 21, 2007

The United States enters the fifth year of its war with Iraqi with no end in sight.  Despite the much-trumpeted so-called “Baghdad surge,” things seem to be getting worse in that formerly cosmopolitan Middle East capital, not better.  The state of affairs is highlighted by the bombing of the so-called Iraqi “parliament building” (a former sports stadium), inside the so-called “Green Zone” on April 12.  The Bush Administration continues to trumpet the occupation as the “front line of the war on terrorism,” and that “we need to fight them over there so that they will not be attacking us over here.”  This despite the fact that official US documents now tell us what most of the world has known for years, that there never was any connection between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda.  And official US documents also document that one of the principal results of the Iraq occupation, and how it is being carried out, is the creation, not the elimination, of terrorists. 

At this point then, the question must be asked: Is the Bush administration really seeking to fight terrorism?  Or is it all about something else?  For example, might they be seeking to perpetuate conditions, say the creation of Permanent War, that will drive American voters to maintain the Neocons and their overseas allies in power, a la Orwell?  And in that context, just how far would Bush/Cheney go to assure they maintain power in the US?   For the CheneyBush War Policy is becoming curiouser and curiouser.  "Things are getting better in Iraq," they say, when they are clearly getting worse, as noted. "We must fight on to 'victory' " they say, without ever defining what they mean by "victory."  Of course, virtually all military authorities other than those in the CheneyBush hip pocket for one reason or another say that no matter how you define it, "victory" is impossible.  

Virtually all political authorities (which given their track records excludes any pro-war Republicans, neocons, or other Rightists, who cannot be characterized as “authorities” on the Iraq matter) agree.  CheneyBush and their surrogates in the Congress and the Privatized Ministry of Propaganda label any critics of their policies as traitors. Indeed, "aiding and abetting the enemy" is one of the components of "treason."   Some such surrogates, like Mark Levin, an attorney and President of the far-right wing Landmark Legal Foundation, who has a talk show on New York City’s WABC-AM (Disney Corp.) radio call liberal opponents of the Georgites “cockroaches, who need to be squashed underfoot.”  But the reality of Iraq for most observers is such that, traitors, cockroaches, left-wing, right-wing (like Paul Craig Roberts) or no, they have come to the conclusion that the Georgites and their followers are in la-la land, that they are totally delusional, that they are getting wrong intelligence, that (before the bombing of the parliament building) they are Green Zone-centric, that when they talk about “achieving victory” they cannot actually believe what they are saying.

Well, there is another possible explanation for CheneyBush policy: things in Iraq are going exactly the way they planned them to go. I have written about this possibility before, briefly, and am revisiting the topic here in a bit more detail.  Now it is possible that they are all collectively delusional, just as Hitler was in the winter of 1945 when he apparently really believed Goebbels’ propaganda that he was going to pull victory from the jaws of defeat, even as the Red Army was making its final drive across northeastern Europe in the dead of a very bad winter. But if that’s not it, of “collective delusion” is not the answer, it appears that by a process of elimination there is only one possible conclusion left: what’s happening in Iraq is exactly what they have planned for all along.  Let's connect the dots. 

As is known, CheneyBush lied the U.S. into war. There were no WMD and they knew it.  Hans Blix was inspecting the heck out of Saddam Hussein’s Iraq and finding no evidence of WMD.  He was sharing his findings with the US and asked the US to share any contradictory intelligence that they had with him.  None, niente, nada.   

There was no Hussein/al-Qaeda link, and they knew it. The famous "Prague meeting" between representatives of Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden might well have taken place.  However, if it did, it is most likely that Hussein's man told bin Laden's man "no" very firmly (and likely in language not quite so polite).  For a variety of reasons, from Hussein's secularism to his strong desire not to give the Georgites any real excuse to invade his country again, an excuse that they eventually did make up, Hussein would have rejected any bin Laden overtures. 

As is well known, there was no DOD post-war planning. The U.S. State Department had a very detailed plan for Iraqi re-construction.  All 2,200 pages of it were just ignored. There is the much-traveled story that Rumsfeld threatened to fire anyone on his staff who even talked about post-war planning. 

The looting of museums that could easily have been prevented could, in fact, have been part of “a plan” (well a different kind of plan) to develop permanent chaos: delete to the extent possible 5000 years of history which gave at least parts of Iraq an historical identity.   A purposeful enterprise to destroy the civil infrastructure to the extent possible would explain the staffing of Bremer's ‘pro-consulate’ by totally unqualified, very young, Republican political operatives.  Maybe it was indeed not accidental or careless, but rather “let's do whatever we can to gum up the infrastructure even further than it is already gummed up by Saddam and our invasion.” 

Since the famous “major combat operations have ended” moment there have been numerous missed opportunities for declaring victory and leaving, from the holding of elections, to the forming of a government, to the swearing in of the Parliament. All opportunities were ignored. 

The Iraq Study Group Report provided a perfect rationale and cover for withdrawal to begin now. CheneyBush attempted to dispose of it before its ink was dry.  Bush famously did not ask one question during the 45 minutes (!) that he met with the Group, although when he went on to his next meeting, with military commanders at the Pentagon, he was full of questions, about the details of military strategy and tactics for Iraq.

Most of us on the Left thought the true goals of the invasion were oil and bases. If that were true, they were achieved, as confirmed last month with the news that the Iraqi cabinet has come to an agreement over the distribution of oil exploration and operational rights and revenues, which will most likely be approved by the Parliament. And Bush is escalating militarily. 

At various times, most recently with the re-emergence of the “Saudi initiative,” the major Muslim countries have offered to provide cover for an American departure, especially if it were attached to a real settlement of the Palestine/Israel problem. They were not taken up on those offers. 

Then came the bombshell report by Seymour Hersh in the Feb. 28, 2007, issue of The New Yorker.  As summarized by our European Editor, Michael Carmichael, on The Planetary Movement (Blog) of March 4, 2007: 

The New Yorker’s ace investigative reporter, Seymour Hersh, ha[s] done it again with his latest earth-shattering exposé.  Hersh revealed Dick Cheney and his henchmen had deliberately set about inciting chain reactions of sectarian violence and civil wars across the Middle East via a massive covert operation disguised as a shift of geopolitical strategy. . . .  Now, instead of launching a war against Iran, Cheney with Bush’s complicity has pulled the trigger on a covert war of global proportions pitting Sunnis against Shias.

“According to Hersh, Cheney’s covert plan involves massive US financial backing for militant Sunni groups that are known to be inimical to the Shia militias of the Badr Brigades, the Mahdi Army, Hamas, and Hezbollah, all of whom support the revolutionary government of Iran.  The US-backed Sunnis include the Muslim Brotherhood, a vast and powerful multinational organization, who are definitely on friendly terms with Al-Qaeda and its allies, including the Taliban.  . . . Hersh reveals presidential involvement in the massive covert operation to ignite a religious war in the Middle East . . . [I]nstead of rebuilding the damaged cities and broken infrastructure of Iraq, the mega-billions in US cash are now being subverted to the bank accounts of radical Sunni groups known to be in league with Al Qaeda and their patrons – the Taliban.

“Hersh quotes well-known regional authorities who are confidently predicting a US and Israel-backed confrontation between Shia and Sunni forces.  The covert American-Israeli plan to expand the Iraq Civil War to engulf the entire region in a blazing arc of atrocities and ultra-violence that will extend from Lebanon to Afghanistan is the brainchild of the neoconservative cell remaining in power in the Bush White House.”

Sure sounds like a recipe for Orwellian Permanent War, doesn’t it?

And finally there is the constant sabre-rattling on Iran.  As my readers already know, I think that the "Iran thing" is all about sabre-rattling and scaring the American people and nothing else. I do not believe that CheneyBush are about to invade and/or bomb. They have very limited military resources, and as noted in The Sunday Times of London (a Murdoch [!] newspaper) of February 25, 2007, they might even face a revolt of the generals over it. The "evidence of Iranian intervention in Iraq" consists primarily of some very sophisticated roadside bombs. They might be supplied by the Iranian military with full government knowledge. On the other hand, they might be forgeries.  Or they might be stolen from Iranian munitions dumps and then sold on the black market. But even for CheneyBush, it is hardly likely (never say never when dealing with these guys) that they would/could use them as a justification to carpet bomb Iran, perhaps with nuclear weapons.  Both options would go down very well with Kristol, O'RHannibaugh and their most brain-washed acolytes, but with nobody else in the world.  However, CheneyBush are saber-rattling, although Cheney does most of the rattling while Bush, Gates, and Snow say "nothing to worry about." Thus it would appear that all the Sturm und Drang is primarily for U.S. domestic political consumption.

I believe that the time has come to raise the questions that I asked at the beginning of this column:  Is the Bush administration really seeking to fight terrorism?  Or is it all about something else?  For example, might they be seeking to perpetuate conditions, say the creation of Permanent War, that will drive American voters to maintain their come what else may, a la Orwell’s prediction?  And in that context, just how far would Bush/Cheney go to assure they maintain power in the US?  Dangerous questions, but not beginning to come to grips with them could prove even more dangerous for the future of our great Constitutional Democracy.