Letter from The U.K.

BLAIR AT THE CHILCOT INQUIRY: The Self Deception of the Genuine Believer

By Michael Faulkner – 02.07.2010

On January 29th former Prime Minister Tony Blair made his long-awaited appearance before the Chilcot inquiry into the Iraq war. It was a media event. During the week preceding his appearance the committee had questioned former foreign secretary Jack Straw, two former top Foreign Office lawyers, Sir Michael Wood and his deputy, Elizabeth Wilmshurst, and former attorney general, Lord Goldsmith. On the vital question of the legality of the war, Straw was equivocal and evasive. Wood said he regarded the war as illegal and Wilmshurst, who had resigned in protest two days before the invasion of Iraq, went further, denouncing it as a crime of aggression. Goldsmith gave no convincing explanation for having changed his opinion expressed on March 7th 20003 that there was no legal basis for the war, to the view expressed on the 17th of March, immediately prior to the invasion, that the war would be legal. He admitted to having had discussions with US lawyers in Washington but denied that he had been subjected to any pressure.

Goldsmith had prepared the ground for Blair. A moment’s reflection is sufficient to lead to a pretty obvious conclusion, namely that Goldsmith was very unlikely to go before the committee and say “I actually continued to believe that without a second security council resolution the invasion of Iraq would be illegal, but I felt under pressure from Blair and the army chiefs to provide them with a cover of legality for what they were determined to do, so I pretended to change my mind.” On the basis of all the available evidence before the committee and in the public domain, this is plainly what happened. But to have admitted it Goldsmith would not only have exposed himself as a spineless wimp, but would also have made it impossible for Blair and his accomplices such as Straw, Hoon and Campbell to continue their mendacious dissembling.  Therefore, in a phrase that he had obviously rehearsed beforehand in anticipation of the question, he dismissed such a suggestion as “utter nonsense.”

Now to Blair. The slightest knowledge of the man should have made plain that unless he were to be subjected to the most thorough and skillful interrogation by expert lawyers, he would run rings around the inquiry. As there are no lawyers on the committee, and as it includes one person who wrote Blair’s 1999 speech supporting military intervention and another who thought that Bush and Blair might be compared to Churchill and Roosevelt, it is hardly surprising that this is exactly what he did. He seized the initiative from members of the committee and shifted the terms of the inquiry to suit himself. In reporting the session journalists have made much of Blair’s “bravura performance”, analyzing his gestures, his mannerisms, his intonation. Present at the inquiry were members of the public as non-participating observers. Many of them were the relatives of soldiers killed in Iraq.  A silent, angry audience, they were waiting for some sign of contrition, of regret for the deaths of their loved-ones, and, hopefully for some form of apology. They hoped in vain. Blair and his accomplices, like their US neoconservative counterparts, take their cue from John Wayne who characteristically quipped “Never apologize – it’s a sign of weakness.”

Many of his critics regard Blair as a liar. The posters carrying his caricature under the label “Bliar”. that first appeared on the two million strong anti-war march in 2003, appeared again in the hands of the two hundred or so demonstrators outside the Chilcot inquiry. But it is not quite that simple. Blair is worse than a liar. There is reason to think that he actually believes what he says and that he is either untroubled by any inconsistencies in his acts or utterances, or persuades himself that there are none. What drives him is belief – a strong belief that the opinions he espouses and the conclusions he reaches are right and that such beliefs amount to knowledge of the truth, regardless of any evidence to the contrary.  It is likely, though not certain, that Blair’s self righteousness and self-certainty are associated with his religious faith. In assessing his performance at the Chilcot inquiry it may be worth examining his Manichean belief system rather more carefully.

Blair is supposed once to have expressed an interest in philosophy. If so, he must have abandoned it before giving any consideration to questions of knowledge and belief. He is on record as saying “I only know what I believe.” This is miserably muddle-headed and at an intellectual level is risible. But it probably helps explain his strong sense of kindred spirit with G.W. Bush whose thought processes seem similar. Blair’s dubious talent lies in his ability to persuade some people that the truth value of any statement is somehow dependent on the depth of conviction with which it is uttered, or upon the self-proclaimed sincerity of the person uttering it – or, perhaps on the identity of the person uttering it. Trawling through his testimony, one constantly comes across expressions of this sort:  “I believe (of Saddam Hussein) he threatened not just the region but the world…it was better to deal with his threat, to remove him from office.”; “I do genuinely believe that the world is safer as a result.”; “But I genuinely believe that if we had left Saddam in power, even with what we know now, we would still have had to have dealt with him.”

When asked if he thought Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, he said: “I did believe it. And I did believe it beyond doubt.” These statements illustrate the point.  Saddam Hussein did not threaten the world. On the basis of no evidence, Blair chose to believe that he did. To say the very least, the evidence that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction, was not beyond doubt, but Blair chose to believe that it was. It brings us back to his claim that he only knows what he believes. Belief, unsupported by evidence, is not knowledge. To claim that it is, is to substitute knowledge for faith – and that is the realm in which Blair operates.

Blair, like many others, is prone to denounce as “fascist” regimes he doesn’t like and believes to be ripe for “regime change” by Britain and the US.  At the Chilcot inquiry he referred to Saddam’s Iraq as semi-fascist. He regards the Iranian regime in the same way and intimated to the panel that he would support regime change by invasion there also. The opponents of the Iraq war were in no doubt about the brutal, repressive nature of Saddam’s regime and no-one can seriously doubt that the Iranian regime is also very repressive, though, unlike Iraq, it is an Islamic theocracy. But there are many very repressive regimes in the world. Saudi Arabia is more repressive than Iran. Pakistan and Afghanistan are hardly models of democratic tolerance. Certainly Saddam’s regime had some features common to the European fascist states of the 1930s and 40s, but it far too easy to use the label to justify regime change by military intervention. Ahmadinejad is a thoroughly unpleasant, dictatorial demagogue, and Holocaust denial is just as repellent coming from him as it is when it comes from European neo-Nazis and anti-Semites. But Ahmadinejad is not Hitler and Iran is not Nazi Germany. And while on the subject of fascist regimes, Franco’s Spain, solidly supported by the United States and the West as a cold war ally was nonetheless genuinely fascist. No attempt at regime change there. South Africa under Apartheid was a racist tyranny which for 46 years oppressed the majority of the population and operated a system of vicious racial categorization similar to that in Nazi Germany. It was sustained by the US and the West and supported with arms in its wars against Angola, Mozambique and Namibia.

Anyone with real knowledge of fascism is reluctant to use the term in the slap-dash way common to those who prefer emotive invective to serious political discourse. Whatever he is, Blair is not a fascist. Neither is Bush. But one of the characteristics of fascist dictators was their profound belief that they were right in everything they said and did. Contrary to the mistaken view that Hitler was an atheist, he was in a peculiar way profoundly religious. He wrote in Mein Kampf that he believed he was doing the work of the Almighty. His Director of Communications, Josef Goebbels, was fond of parading his “profound beliefs” to his captive listeners. On one such occasion, the defiant “Total War” speech to a hand-picked audience in the Berlin Sportpalast following the rout of the 6th Army at Stalingrad in 1943 which led to Germany’s total defeat, he told his enraptured audience that they should prepare themselves for total war against the Bolshevik hordes. He profoundly believed, he said that victory could and would be won. Furthermore, he revealed, the Fuhrer had told him personally that he also profoundly believed the same thing. That was good enough. The hand-picked audience raised their right arms and cheered the Director of Communications to the rooftop. The rest of the population kept their thoughts to themselves. Those inclined to mistake their own beliefs for knowledge – beware.

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