by Mickey Walker - October 26, 2008
Hope is always a good thing. I want to agree with the many articles written that say
America is facing a new economic downturn which is part of an historical
cycle. But I cannot. These are unchartered waters. Never has our country faced any
economic cycle or downturn with a 10 Trillion dollar National Debt. At least another additional Trillion
dollars, our leaders have already spent and funded with more Chinese
loans. America has never before teetered on the precipice of such
debt. The price of fighting unlawful wars against Bush’s Axis of Evil, is
costly. Do I know what this holy
war spending and debt means or what it forebodes? No, I am not a Warren
Buffet, but even he probably does not know what the future holds with this new
tag of nation-breaking debt. So will markets behave normally, as
before? Well, one thing we do know is that we never saw a mortgage
meltdown like this one upon us now. Never in the lives of most readers
have we ever seen banks, insurance companies and major investment banks implode
for all the Derivatives and Subprime mortgages they held before going down the
drain. Even in 1929 we did not
have this monstrous 10-Trillion Dollar debt hanging over us. So something
different is cooking in our financial state of affairs than pre and during the
Great Depression.
It is rumored by several reputable financial
prophets and economists that Derivatives make for new kinds of perils the world
has never seen. Just what are they? These are nothing more than "bookie bets" that have no
substance, no value. They are a bet that tranches (channels, like an
invisible shipping container) of real securities like Ginnie Maes and
Freddie Macs will pay down principle at predefined rates by and/or on
certain dates. Or not. You win or you lose on the "bet"
which is not a valid security or a valid instrument of value. There is
always a loser. There is always a winner. The winners have bought
condos in Dubai, Switzerland, and stuffed their proceeds offshore. The
losers have walked away from their homes and have seen their investments tank
by 50% and more due to the ripples in the Dow caused by no confidence in the
GIANT Investment Banking Houses and Banks, and you know who they are. The
losers are us. The Insiders, the monsters who pushed for deregulation,
got what they wanted. They got the money by selling scams like
Derivatives that bankrupted Orange County a while back and the state of
California as we speak. They got the money and got out of town.
Did you see how much the CEO of Lehman Bros got, was it over 400
Million dollars? The losers are us indeed, and the total destruction of
our economy is almost complete. Historically, there is no reference point
for comparison to today. We have been a pay-as-you-go world until just in
recent times. But while they were at it, they picked the pockets of
homeowners by getting them to sign ticking time bombs of subprime mortgage
deals which when ballooned, would explode in the homeowner's faces. They had no choice but to walk
away. I hear talk that it's the homeowner's fault that they bit off more
than they could chew. Maybe so, but when lenders are showering money on
you, saying, "Take it, you deserve it, you can make the payments."
the homeowners were duped into thinking it would be okay. The lenders got
big commissions, stashed it offshore, bought a one-way ticket to their favorite
tropical island, and the rest is history.
Merrill Lynch sold billions of these "bookie bet"
Derivatives they called CMOs, CROs, etc. and packaged them and bundled them as
BONDS. Deregulation allowed such a crime. Can you say Neocons? GOP? Remember Harvey Pitt? He was the Department Head of the Securities and Exchange Commission who
the Shrub let off the hook when Bush sold off most of his holdings of Harken
Oil without filing a Form 4. You see, Bush was then CEO of Harken. He saw
the Tsunami coming of Harken lower earnings and sold
off the vast amount of his shares that went from 4 to 1 buck a share months
after the sale. When a CEO insider like Bush sells off his own personal
shares in the company, the law says you are supposed to file a Form 4 IRS form
to let the shareholders and the world who invests in stocks know that a big
insider selloff is about to occur. A headsup is
not only fair; it is the law. Bush
waited for over 6 months, and by then Harken stock
had tanked, and Pitt said he didn't think Bush did it on purpose so he let him
off. Deregulation. Want to know who appointed Harvey Pitt to head
the SEC? Poppy Bush, you know, the
father. Seems more important
these days, Deregulation, does it not? But we did not pay attention to
Deregulation that Reagan, Bush, and the Neocons in Congress said would help the
Free Market, right? Right. Derivatives
helped run over the American people like a Bush Hawg. And our continued borrowing off-budget to finance Bush’s
ongoing wars of occupation has the patient (America’s financial system) on
life-support.
But what about those CMOs (another name for
Derivatives)? Guess what? They ain't BONDS. They
nothing but AIR. And now it is rumored and verified that the world
now holds these Liar's Poker BONDS called Derivatives in numbers that exceed
500 TRILLION DOLLARS! GASP. Yes, TRILLION, not
billion. When you “Google” it, many accounts say that Chase Bank (like in
JP Morgan) holds the lion's share, figured at about 90 TRILLION
DOLLARS. Think Chase will be able to cash your paycheck at the
teller window if this is true and the bookie markers get called in like when
the billions of Derivatives got called on Lehman Brothers? Think the US
Gummint FDIC guarantees to now pay up to 250 thousand dollars a head will work
if Chase goes down? If so, where will the government get the money to
reimburse each investor with enough to buy a snow cone? Bank of America
reportedly holds 45 TRILLION, and so on, all over the world. If this
is true, there will be no choice eventually, but to reset the world meter on
currencies and start over. No other choice but to write off these amounts
and start over with new currency. Sigh. Know what that means?
Sure you do. I do too, and, once you swallow the gallon of Castor Oil,
you thank the heavens you're still alive and can proceed down the road of life
best as you can. That's worth everything. It's priceless. But
history is not germane any more, given the world debt mountain to climb.
We can no longer predict how the markets will behave because everything
now is new. Debt is the new terror. It has and will continue
to bring down the buildings and firms on Wall Street like bin Laden brought
down the Twin Towers. Debt will continue to cause banks to fail. A
little debt would have worked for our good, but when they started with the
Derivatives and the shell game subprime mortgages, they rang the death knell
for our economy. Do the arithmetic. Answer the question, how do you
liquidate a debt? After you get past the two ways of 1. You pay it
or 2. You disavow it, tell me if there is a
third choice. I think not. Choices 1 and 2 seem to be the only
possibilities at this point. The first seems impossible and the second,
catastrophic.
Remember when Reagan said, "Deficits don't matter?"
He said it with a wink and a smile. Did he know something we
didn't? Keep that thought. Bush perfected Reagan's borrow-and-spend
Voodoo Economics, and now McCain/Palin promise to continue the theft and
destruction by borrowing and spending to keep fighting in Iraq, etc., etc.,
etc. Borrow and spend, dudes. It's okay when you're fighting
Evil. That's how we got here. Pay no attention to that war
corporation crony behind the curtain who is picking your pocket. Pay
no attention to Erik Prince, CEO of Blackwater Mercenaries that we
paid a Billion dollars to supplement our troops in Iraq. And to shoot Iraqis for target practice. By now they
have collected maybe 2 Billion dollars from our bankrupted Treasury, thanks to
the wisdom of our leaders who say deficits don't matter when you're fighting
Evil and as Palin says, "Doing God's work in Iraq." Too bad
Russia, Reagan's Evil Empire didn't stay on their knees from all our borrowing
and spending off-budget and on-budget for wars. Heck they got a 2
Trillion Dollar Surplus, now. Their leaders didn't cheat the people out
of their future the way ours did. Makes you really wonder who's evil and
who's not, doesn’t it? 